Analysis of factors affecting organic rice exports in Indonesia

Qorimah Handari Harahap, Zulkifli Lubis, Tavi Supriana
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Abstract

The market opportunities from organic farming which are getting bigger globally are being utilized by farmers in various regions in Indonesia and have succeeded in cultivating organic rice and have quite wide market coverage even abroad. This research aims to determine the factors that influence the volume of organic rice exports in Indonesia. The results of multiple linear regression prove that the domestic price of organic rice, the international price of organic rice and the dollar exchange rate against the rupiah influence the volume of organic rice exports in Indonesia. The price of organic rice, both domestic and international, has a negative effect on organic rice exports. Meanwhile, the dollar exchange rate against the rupiah has a positive effect on organic rice exports. The policy implications based on the research results are (a) Seeing the research results showing that the price of domestic organic rice has a negative and significant effect on organic rice exports, the government must maintain prices (inflation), especially the price of domestic organic rice. (b) When the rupiah depreciates, organic rice exports will increase, but exchange rate stability must be maintained by the government. So the increase in organic rice exports is the result of increased rice production, not just the exchange rate.
影响印度尼西亚有机大米出口的因素分析
印尼各地区的农民正在利用全球日益扩大的有机农业市场机遇,成功种植有机大米,市场覆盖面相当广,甚至远销海外。本研究旨在确定影响印尼有机大米出口量的因素。多元线性回归结果证明,印尼国内有机大米价格、国际有机大米价格和美元对印尼盾的汇率影响着印尼有机大米的出口量。国内和国际有机大米价格对有机大米出口量有负面影响。同时,美元对印尼盾的汇率对有机大米出口有积极影响。根据研究结果得出的政策启示是 (a) 鉴于研究结果表明国内有机大米价格对有机大米出口有显著的负面影响,政府必须维持物价(通货膨胀),尤其是国内有机大米的价格。(b) 当印尼盾贬值时,有机大米出口会增加,但政府必须维持汇率稳定。因此,有机大米出口的增加是大米产量增加的结果,而不仅仅是汇率的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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