FEATURES OF THE APPLICATION OF STATISTICAL-ECONOMETRIC AND OPTIMIZATION APPROACHES TO THE MODELING AND MANAGEMENT DECISION-MAKING IN THE ECONOMY

Vasyl Hryhorkiv, Mariia Hryhorkiv
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Abstract

Both the theoretical and applied potential of modern economic science is quite powerful and depends significantly on the level of development of economic-mathematical, computer and information-technological tools. However, the application of economic-mathematical models, methods and information technologies has its own peculiarities and possibilities in ЕКОНОМІКО-МАТЕМАТИЧНЕ МОДЕЛЮВАННЯ 106 Випуск ІІ (90), 2023 the sense of processing and preparation of statistical or expert information and relevant management decisions, which actualizes them as a separate scientific problem. Aim of the work is isolation and analysis of the most important and fundamental features of the use of statistical-econometric and optimization approaches in theoretical and applied research, which together form a methodological platform for the process of information processing and its application in the preparation of decisions. The characteristic features and conditions of the application of statistical-econometric and optimization approaches in the processes of modeling the economy, preparing and making appropriate management decisions are revealed. The implementation of these approaches in both theoretical and applied research leads to adequate results only when the conceptual and methodological requirements for their use are met. Violation of these requirements, in particular for information provision, creates far from always obvious risks regarding the possibility of using the constructed model or the prepared solution in practice. The specifics of econometric and optimization models that reproduce not only quantitative, but also qualitative characteristics of the studied objects (phenomena, processes, systems) were analyzed. Taking such characteristics into account often leads to modification of certain approaches to modeling and development of management solutions. Certain aspects of information provision of decision-making conditions, formed on the basis of data (knowledge) possessed by the control subsystem about the operating environment of the research object, are substantiated. The characterized features of the statistical-econometric and optimization approaches, which are used in the development of economic-mathematical models and the preparation of management decisions in the economy based on them, have an obvious practical orientation and are directly related to applied research. According to their content, all the stated provisions are practically significant in the sense that they are focused on scientifically based warnings regarding the specifics of using the analyzed tools in practice. The specificity of the conditions of application of the analyzed statistical-econometric and optimization approaches is that, depending on the object of research, these conditions may have their own specific features. The justification of these features is the subject of further research.
在经济建模和管理决策中应用统计-计量经济学和优化方法的特点
现代经济科学的理论和应用潜力都相当强大,并在很大程度上取决于经济数学、计算机和信息技术工具的发展水平。然而,经济数学模型、方法和信息技术的应用在ЕКОНОМІКО-МАТЕМАТИЧНЕ МОДЕЛЮВАНЯ 106 Випуск ІІ(90)有其特殊性和可能性、2023 统计或专家信息及相关管理决策的处理和准备,将其作为一个独立的科学问题加以解决。这项工作的目的是分离和分析在理论和应用研究中使用统计-计量经济学和优化方法的最重要和最基本的特征,它们共同构成了信息处理过程及其在决策准备中应用的方法论平台。本文揭示了在经济建模、准备和做出适当管理决策的过程中应用统计-计量经济学和优化方法的特点和条件。只有在满足使用这些方法的概念和方法要求时,在理论和应用研究中使用这些方法才能取得适当的结果。如果违反了这些要求,特别是违反了提供信息的要求,那么在实际使用所构建的模型或所准备的解决方案的可能性方面就会产生远非显而易见的风险。我们分析了计量经济学和优化模型的具体情况,这些模型不仅再现了所研究对象(现象、 过程、系统)的定量特征,而且还再现了其定性特征。考虑到这些特点往往会导致对某些建模方法和管理解决方案的开发进行修改。在控制子系统拥有的关于研究对象运行环境的数据(知识)基础上形成的决策条件信息提供的某些方面得到了证实。统计-计量经济学和优化方法在经济数学模型开发和经济管理决策准备中的应用具有明显的实用性,与应用研究直接相关。根据其内容,所有上述规定都具有实际意义,因为这些规定的重点是就在实践中使用分析工具的具体情况提出科学警告。所分析的统计-计量经济学和优化方法的应用条件的特殊性在于,根据研究对象的不同,这些条件可能具有各自的特点。这些特点的合理性是进一步研究的主题。
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