Understanding Ramsey-de Finetti Probabilities and the St. Petersburg Paradox

Somdeb Lahiri
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Abstract

We provide simple interpretations of probability with a view towards its potential for real world (i.e., practical) applications. Our discussion is along the lines initiated by David Ramsey and Bruno de Finetti, though we do not provide a theory of probability but merely use their axioms and results to interpret mathematical probability. Subsequently, we provide a critique as well as a resolution of the well-known St. Petersburg paradox that is consistent with expected utility theory.
了解拉姆齐-德菲内蒂概率和圣彼得堡悖论
我们对概率进行了简单的诠释,以期在现实世界(即实际应用)中发挥其潜力。我们的讨论沿袭了大卫-拉姆齐和布鲁诺-德-菲内蒂的思路,但我们并不提供概率理论,而只是利用他们的公理和结果来解释数学概率。随后,我们对著名的圣彼得堡悖论进行了批判,并提出了与期望效用理论相一致的解决方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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