Improvement of National Crisis Management Strategy for New Risks: Focusing on the Delphi Analysis of New Risk Issues and Policy Tasks

Ju Ho Lee, Joon Young Hur, Se Jin Kim
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study sought to predict future new risks and respond to national crisis management strategies through expert Delphi surveys. Despite its terminology, new risks can already identify risk management issues and targets from disaster experiences and various environmental signals rather than new risks, and based on this, it is necessary to approach them as newly focused risks rather than conceptual limitations of completely new risks. The core task of predicting and responding to new risks is the negative ripple effect of new risks, and a wide range of response mechanisms and systems are needed to prepare for them, and due to the nature of modern society, it is necessary to focus and strengthen capabilities based on a wide range of monitoring systems and data-based analysis scenarios. To this end, this study presented national crisis management strategy tasks in five aspects: changing the new risk management paradigm, reorganizing the legal system, improving organizational management, strengthening collaboration and communication, and strengthening capabilities.
针对新风险改进国家危机管理战略:以对新风险问题和政策任务的德尔菲分析为重点
本研究试图通过专家德尔菲调查来预测未来的新风险,并对国家危机管理战略做出回应。新风险尽管有其术语,但已经可以从灾害经验和各种环境信号中发现风险管理的问题和目标,而不是新的风险,基于此,有必要将其作为新聚焦的风险来对待,而不是完全新风险的概念局限。预测和应对新风险的核心任务是新风险的负面涟漪效应,需要广泛的应对机制和系统来做好准备,由于现代社会的性质,有必要在广泛的监测系统和基于数据的分析方案的基础上集中和加强能力。为此,本研究从五个方面提出了国家危机管理战略任务:改变新的风险管理范式、重组法律体系、完善组织管理、加强协作与沟通、强化能力。
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