An Estimate of the Number of Accidents and Serious Accidents in Railway Traffic

Q2 Engineering

Periodica Polytechnica Transportation Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-29 DOI:10.3311/pptr.21753

D. Pupavac, Anton Marinac, Josip Knežević

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between the number of extraordinary events and the total number of accidents and serious accidents in railway traffic. The purpose of the paper is to estimate the total number of accidents and serious accidents on the track network of Croatian Railway Infrastructure (HŽI) until 2027. The results of the research are based on secondary data that are the subject of processing using statistical methods of correlation and regression analysis. The main finding of this paper points to the existence of a strong and positive relationship between the number of extraordinary events and the total number of accidents and serious accidents in railway traffic. The estimated number of extraordinary events and total number of accidents and serious accidents until 2027 indicates a trend of their further reduction.

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铁路交通事故和严重事故数量估计

本文旨在研究非常事件的数量与铁路交通事故和严重事故总数之间的关系。本文旨在估算克罗地亚铁路基础设施（HŽI）轨道网络在 2027 年之前的事故和严重事故总数。研究结果以二手数据为基础，使用相关和回归分析的统计方法进行处理。本文的主要研究结果表明，非常事件的数量与铁路交通事故和严重事故的总数之间存在密切的正相关关系。对 2027 年之前的非常事件数量和事故及严重事故总数的估计表明，它们有进一步减少的趋势。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Periodica Polytechnica Transportation Engineering Engineering-Automotive Engineering

CiteScore

2.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Periodica Polytechnica is a publisher of the Budapest University of Technology and Economics. It publishes seven international journals (Architecture, Chemical Engineering, Civil Engineering, Electrical Engineering, Mechanical Engineering, Social and Management Sciences, Transportation Engineering). The journals have free electronic versions.