Integral and generalized indicators of development and ensuring the national security of the country

V. Starovoitov, V. Eremin, S. A. Pobyvaev, E. V. Zolotarev, N. V. Lapenkova
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Abstract

Purpose:   presentation of the results of research on the development and application of methods for calculating integral and generalized indicators intended for assessing the state and making effective management decisions in the field of development and ensuring national security of Russia.Methods:  the following methods were used in the study: methods of statistical data preparation, the method of expert assessments, the T. Saaty method, the method of the Center for political conjuncture, the method of linear convolution.Results: the article provides an overview of approaches to managing development and ensuring national security in Russia and a number of foreign countries using various indicators. The authors have developed a methodology for forming integral and generalized indicators of development and ensuring the national security of Russia. The calculation of generalized indicators of the state of economic security in the field of civil air transportation and aircraft manufacturing in Russia in 2021-2022 is presented. The authors proposed a mechanism for analytical interpretation of the influence of changes in general and specific indicators on the transformation of the integral indicator.Сonclusions and Relevance:   when studying complex socio-economic phenomena, there is a need to use generalized and integral assessments. This is due to the large amount of information that needs to be analyzed, summarized and structured. Generalized and integral indicators are necessary for forecasting and planning development while ensuring the national security of the country. Such indicators make it possible to quickly and efficiently assess current socio-economic processes, respond in a timely manner and take measures to solve emerging problems. In the article, the authors propose to analyze the dynamics of generalized and integral indicators characterizing the development and ensuring the national security of the country, which makes it possible to identify potential threats and risks and timely take measures to minimize them.
国家发展和确保国家安全的综合和一般指标
研究方法:研究中使用了以下方法:统计数据准备方法、专家评估方法、T. Saaty 方法、政治连接中心方法、线性卷积方法。结果:文章概述了俄罗斯和一些外国使用各种指标管理发展和保障国家安全的方法。作者制定了形成俄罗斯发展和保障国家安全的综合指标和通用指标的方法。文中介绍了 2021-2022 年俄罗斯民用航空运输和飞机制造领域经济安全状况通用指标的计算方法。作者提出了分析解释一般指标和具体指标的变化对综合指标转变的影响的机制。结论和现实意义:在研究复杂的社会经济现象时,有必要使用概括性和综合性评估。这是因为有大量信息需要分析、总结和构建。要预测和规划发展,同时确保国家的安全,就必须使用概括性和整体性指标。有了这些指标,就可以快速有效地评估当前的社会经济进程,及时做出反应,并采取措施解决新出现的问题。在这篇文章中,作者建议分析表征国家发展和确保国家安全的通用指标和综合指标的动态,从而有可能确定潜在的威胁和风险,并及时采取措施将其最小化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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