DETERMINATIONS OF PROFITABILITY IN THE AGRICULUTRAL SECTOR IN SERBIA

Ivana Milošev
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Abstract

This research paper considers performance determinants at firm and industry level from the perspective of agricultural industry since this industry is recognized as one of key drivers of Serbian national economy. Sample is consisted of 115 large and medium-sized firms as they participate around 50% in total sector turnover, during years 2017 - 2021. The Generalized Method of Moments was used to analyze how firm factors (lagged profitability, leverage, labor cost, size, liquidity, sales growth) and industry factors (market share and capital intensity) affect profitability. Research results showed that profitability is strongly positively affected by its past values and stronlgy negatively affected by leverage, labours costs and industry factor capital intensity. The results suggest that internal factors are key determinants of the performance of agricultural firms rather than external factors and that leverage is the most significant determinant of profitability therefore managers should pay more attention to debt policy.
确定塞尔维亚农业中立部门的盈利能力
由于农业是塞尔维亚国民经济的主要驱动力之一,本研究论文从农业的角度探讨了企业和行业层面的绩效决定因素。样本由 115 家大中型企业组成,因为这些企业在 2017 - 2021 年期间的总营业额中约占 50%。研究采用广义矩法(Generalized Method of Moments)分析企业因素(滞后盈利能力、杠杆率、劳动力成本、规模、流动性、销售增长)和行业因素(市场份额和资本密集度)对盈利能力的影响。研究结果表明,盈利能力受其过去值的影响很大,而受杠杆率、劳动力成本和行业因素资本密集度的影响很大。研究结果表明,决定农业公司业绩的关键因素是内部因素而非外部因素,杠杆是决定盈利能力的最重要因素,因此管理者应更加重视债务政策。
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