NON-LINEAR EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE ON OIL PALM YIELD: A NOTE BASED ON PANEL THRESHOLD ANALYSIS

IF 0.7 Q4 BUSINESS

International Journal of Business and Society Pub Date : 2023-12-26 DOI:10.33736/ijbs.6425.2023

Roy W.L. Khong, C. Pek, Hui-Boon Tan

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The effect of climate change on agriculture and food production has emerged as one of the major concerns of major global economies, especially given that the global population is projected to reach 10.9 billion people by the end of the 21st century (United Nations, 2019). Crops react differently to climate change and hence it is crucial to understand its effect on specific agricultural plants. Specifically, the impact of climate change on agriculture yield may not be linear. As such, this study investigated the impact of climate factors on oil palm yield using state level data from Malaysia. The results suggested that temperature and oil palm yield have a non-linear inverted U-shaped relationship. In addition, rainfall has a positive impact on oil palm yield.

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温度对油棕产量的非线性影响：基于面板阈值分析的说明

气候变化对农业和粮食生产的影响已成为全球主要经济体关注的主要问题之一，特别是考虑到全球人口预计将在 21 世纪末达到 109 亿（联合国，2019 年）。农作物对气候变化的反应各不相同，因此了解气候变化对特定农业植物的影响至关重要。具体而言，气候变化对农业产量的影响可能不是线性的。因此，本研究利用马来西亚州级数据调查了气候因素对油棕产量的影响。结果表明，气温与油棕榈树产量呈非线性倒 U 型关系。此外，降雨量对油棕产量有积极影响。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

International Journal of Business and Society BUSINESS-

CiteScore

1.80

自引率

10.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： International Journal of Business and Society (IJBS) is an international scholarly journal devoted in publishing high-quality papers using multidisciplinary approaches with a strong emphasis on business, economics and finance. It is a triannual journal published in April, August and December and all articles submitted are in English. Our uniqueness focus on the impact of ever-changing world towards the society based on our niche area of research. IJBS follows a double-blind peer-review process, whereby authors do not know reviewers and vice versa. The journal intends to serve as an outlet with strong theoretical and empirical research and the papers submitted to IJBS should not have been published or be under consideration for publication elsewhere.