Democratic Continuity or Regression?: Croatia’s Post-EU Political Trajectory

IF 0.4 Q3 AREA STUDIES
Davor Pauković, Višeslav Raos
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This article deals with the level of democracy in Croatia after EU accession. The first part presents key events, processes, and actors which have shaped the trajectory of democratic development. The second part discusses the Croatian case in the context of current research on democratic backsliding. The third part tests the idea about democratic backsliding in Croatia by running regression models with democracy indices derived from the Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) dataset. The findings challenge the idea of democratic backsliding in Croatia. The models do not show a clear association of decreased democracy scores after EU accession but point to a stronger role of the pre-accession period in increasing levels of democracy in Croatia. The models also highlight the explanatory role of executive and public sector corruption regarding democracy levels in Croatia. Instead of speaking of democratic backsliding, the Croatian case can be better described as one experiencing democratic stagnation.

民主的延续还是倒退?克罗地亚后欧盟时代的政治轨迹
本文论述了克罗地亚加入欧盟后的民主水平。第一部分介绍了影响民主发展轨迹的关键事件、进程和参与者。第二部分结合当前关于民主倒退的研究,讨论了克罗地亚的情况。第三部分通过使用从 "民主多样性"(V-Dem)数据集中得出的民主指数运行回归模型,检验克罗地亚民主倒退的观点。研究结果对克罗地亚民主倒退的观点提出了质疑。模型并未显示加入欧盟后民主指数下降的明显关联,而是指出加入欧盟前的时期在提高克罗地亚民主水平方面发挥了更大的作用。这些模型还强调了行政和公共部门腐败对克罗地亚民主水平的解释作用。与其说克罗地亚出现了民主倒退,不如说它经历了民主停滞。
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来源期刊
SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE
SOUTHEASTERN EUROPE AREA STUDIES-
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9
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