ASSESSMENT OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE PARAMETERS OF MIGRATORY POPULATION MOVEMENT AND QUALITY OF LIFE IN THE REGIONS OF RUSSIA

V. Oreshnikov
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Abstract

The article is devoted to the study of migration processes in Russia. The population migration forms the settlement system, has a significant impact on the social and economic development of the regions, it is a reflection of the high level of their differentiation on various features, leads to a change in balance both between macroregions and between the types of settlements. The problem of migration outflow in recent years has become characteristic not only for the Northern and Far Eastern regions of the country, but also for other subjects, including the Republic of Bashkortostan. In such conditions, the need to solve it is facing the authorities at all levels of management. At the same time, these issues are not directly reflected in national projects. Moreover, many indicators used in the strategic development documents of the federal level today, in fact, cannot be applicable to the purposes of predicting migration processes due to the lack of a sufficient retrospective base. Taking into account the impossibility of direct impact on the migratory behavior of the population, priority is given to creating favorable conditions. With such a formulation of the task, not financial and economic indicators of development, and the living conditions of people and, first of all, access to social infrastructure facilities are published. In this aspect, its development becomes a competitive control tool for human capital. However, as the study showed, the effectiveness of the implementation of similar activities is significantly varied in a particular region. For a quantitative assessment of the influence of the factors under consideration, the migration processes were asked to form the appropriate economic and mathematical model. The article briefly considers the prerequisites and features of its formation. According to the results of the study, the regression equation was obtained and dispersion analysis was carried out. The results of the assessment of the model according to the Russian regions confirm its adequacy. The study allows you to more fully assess the impact of the development of social infrastructure on the demographic situation in Russia.
评估俄罗斯地区人口迁移参数与生活质量之间的关系
本文致力于研究俄罗斯的人口迁移过程。人口迁移形成了居民点体系,对各地区的社会和经济发展产生了重大影响,反映了各地区在各种特征上的高度分化,导致宏观地区之间和居民点类型之间的平衡发生变化。近年来,移民外流问题不仅成为国家北部和远东地区的特点,也成为包括巴什科尔托斯坦共和国在内的其他主体的特点。在这种情况下,各级管理当局都面临着解决这一问题的需要。同时,这些问题并没有直接反映在国家项目中。此外,由于缺乏足够的追溯基础,目前联邦一级战略发展文件中使用的许多指标实际上并不适用于预测移民进程的目的。考虑到不可能对人口迁移行为产生直接影响,因此应优先考虑创造有利条件。在提出这样的任务时,公布的不是发展的财政和经济指标,而是人民的生活条件,首先是社会基础设施的使用情况。在这方面,其发展成为人力资本的竞争控制工具。然而,正如研究表明的那样,类似活动的实施效果在特定地区存在很大差异。为了对所考虑因素的影响进行定量评估,要求迁移过程形成适当的经济和数学模型。文章简要介绍了该模型形成的前提条件和特点。根据研究结果,得出了回归方程并进行了分散分析。根据俄罗斯各地区的情况对模型进行评估的结果证实了其适当性。通过本研究可以更全面地评估社会基础设施的发展对俄罗斯人口状况的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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