Moore's Law is dead, long live Moore's Law!

Nick Zhang
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Abstract

Moore's Law has been used by semiconductor industry as predicative indicators of the industry and it has become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Now more people tend to agree that the original Moore's Law started to falter. This paper proposes a possible quantitative modification to Moore's Law. It can cover other derivative laws of Moore's Law as well. It intends to more accurately predict the roadmap of chip's performance and energy consumption.
摩尔定律死了,摩尔定律万岁!
摩尔定律被半导体行业用作行业的预测指标,它已经成为一个自我实现的预言。现在越来越多的人倾向于认为最初的摩尔定律开始动摇。本文对摩尔定律提出了一种可能的定量修正。它也可以涵盖摩尔定律的其他导数定律。它旨在更准确地预测芯片的性能和能耗的路线图。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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