Trade diversion effects of the US–China trade war on Vietnam

IF 1.1 4区经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS

Pacific Economic Review Pub Date : 2023-08-29 DOI:10.1111/1468-0106.12435

Bo‐Young Choi, Thuy Linh Nguyen

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract This paper empirically examines the US–China trade war that began in mid‐2018, focusing on the impact on a third country, Vietnam. Using regression analysis, we found that while the trade war had a negative impact on US imports from China for all targeted products, there was a partial offset from increased imports from other countries. Notably, US imports from Vietnam experienced a sharp increase, particularly after the third round of US import tariffs on Chinese goods. Additionally, our research reveals that the four rounds of tariff escalation affected US imports from China differently depending on their end‐use and technology intensity.

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中美贸易战对越南的贸易转移效应

本文对2018年中期开始的中美贸易战进行了实证研究，重点关注对第三国越南的影响。通过回归分析，我们发现，虽然贸易战对美国从中国进口的所有目标产品都产生了负面影响，但从其他国家进口的增加部分抵消了这一影响。值得注意的是，美国从越南的进口急剧增加，特别是在美国对中国商品征收第三轮进口关税之后。此外，我们的研究表明，四轮关税升级对美国从中国进口的影响取决于它们的最终用途和技术强度。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Pacific Economic Review ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

2.70

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Pacific Economic Review (PER) publishes high-quality articles in all areas of economics, both the theoretical and empirical, and welcomes in particular analyses of economic issues in the Asia-Pacific area. Published five times a year from 2007, the journal is of interest to academic, government and corporate economists. The Pacific Economic Review is the official publication of the Hong Kong Economic Association and has a strong editorial team and international board of editors. As a highly acclaimed journal, the Pacific Economic Review is a source of valuable information and insight. Contributors include Nobel Laureates and leading scholars from all over the world.