Measurement errors in popular night lights data may bias estimated impacts of economic sanctions: Evidence from closing the Kaesong Industrial Zone

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Bonggeun Kim, John Gibson, Geua Boe-Gibson
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Satellite-detected night lights data are widely used to evaluate economic impacts of sanctions. Such data should be free from political manipulation. However, measurement errors in these data, from blurring and bottom-coding, are rarely considered. To study such errors, we use a difference-in-differences analysis of impacts of closing the Kaesong Industrial Zone in North Korea—a sanction South Korea imposed in 2016. Luminosity in the affected region declined by a precisely estimated 50 percent. When using the popular Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) night lights data the apparent impacts are imprecisely estimated and far smaller. Measurement errors in DMSP data may distort evaluations of sanctions.

Abstract Image

流行夜灯数据中的测量误差可能会使经济制裁的估计影响出现偏差:关闭开城工业区的证据
卫星探测到的夜间灯光数据被广泛用于评估制裁的经济影响。这些数据应不受政治操纵。然而,这些数据中由模糊和底层编码造成的测量误差却很少被考虑。为了研究这些误差,我们使用了差异分析法来分析关闭朝鲜开城工业区的影响--这是韩国在 2016 年实施的一项制裁。据精确估计,受影响地区的光照度下降了 50%。当使用流行的国防气象卫星计划(DMSP)夜间灯光数据时,明显的影响是不精确估计的,而且要小得多。DMSP数据的测量误差可能会扭曲对制裁的评估。
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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