Macroeconomic Indicators in Assessing the Country’s Export Orientedness

Sviatoslav I. Dashkov
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Abstract

The article considers the prerequisites for ensuring the export orientedness of the country as a logical consequence of its economic stability on the basis of an analysis of macroeconomic indicators and their comparison with the indicators of developed countries of high-tech export specialization. The task of assessing the export orientation of a number of countries with developed economies and Ukraine has been solved using the gross domestic product per capita as one of the most common macroeconomic indicators of the state of the economy. A study of the relationship between GDP and the amount of exports during 2012–2022 was conducted for a number of developed countries whose economies are characterized by a lack of raw materials and human potential (Singapore, New Zealand, Belgium, Slovenia, Portugal). Analysis of trends and growth indices of selected indicators makes it possible to verify the high level of export orientedness of the economies of the selected countries. In order to assess the level of correlation between gross domestic product and the amount of exports, a correlation analysis was carried out. The results of the analysis showed the presence of a direct correlation between GDP and the amount of exports, which can be considered as evidence of the significant role of export activities in ensuring the economic growth. A verification of the direct relationship between the amount of GDP and the amount of exports makes it possible to assess the structure of the economies of countries by the structure of exports. The next step in the study is to assess the specialization of the country’s economy in foreign trade by analyzing the structure of exports in the context of types of economic activity, which will allow to determine which areas of export are inherent in countries with developed economies, and to assess the level of their specialization
评估国家出口导向的宏观经济指标
本文在分析宏观经济指标及其与发达国家高技术出口专业化指标的比较的基础上,考虑了确保国家出口导向的先决条件,作为其经济稳定的逻辑结果。利用人均国内生产总值作为反映经济状况的最常见宏观经济指标之一,已经解决了评估若干经济发达国家和乌克兰的出口方向的任务。对2012-2022年期间国内生产总值与出口额之间的关系进行了一项研究,研究对象是一些经济特征为缺乏原材料和人力潜力的发达国家(新加坡、新西兰、比利时、斯洛文尼亚、葡萄牙)。对所选指标的趋势和增长指数进行分析,可以核查所选国家的经济是否高度以出口为导向。为了评估国内生产总值和出口量之间的相关程度,进行了相关分析。分析结果表明,国内生产总值与出口金额之间存在直接相关关系,这可以视为出口活动在确保经济增长方面发挥重要作用的证据。对国内总产值与出口数额之间的直接关系进行核实,就有可能根据出口结构来评估各国的经济结构。这项研究的下一步是通过分析经济活动类型背景下的出口结构来评估该国经济在对外贸易中的专业化程度,这将有助于确定哪些出口领域是发达经济体所固有的,并评估其专业化水平
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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