Structured Replacement Policies for Offshore Wind Turbines

IF 0.7 3区 工程技术 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
Morteza Soltani, Jeffrey P. Kharoufeh, Amin Khademi
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Abstract

Abstract We consider the problem of optimally maintaining an offshore wind farm in which major components progressively degrade over time due to normal usage and exposure to a randomly varying environment. The turbines exhibit both economic and stochastic dependence due to shared maintenance setup costs and their common environment. Our aim is to identify optimal replacement policies that minimize the expected total discounted setup, replacement, and lost power production costs over an infinite horizon. The problem is formulated using a Markov decision process (MDP) model from which we establish monotonicity of the cost function jointly in the degradation level and environment state and characterize the structure of the optimal replacement policy. For the special case of a two-turbine farm, we prove that the replacement threshold of one turbine depends not only on its own state of degradation but also on the state of degradation of the other turbine in the farm. This result yields a complete characterization of the replacement policy of both turbines by a monotone curve. The policies characterized herein can be used to optimally prescribe timely replacements of major components and suggest when it is most beneficial to share costly maintenance resources.
海上风力涡轮机的结构性更换政策
摘要:我们考虑了一个海上风电场的最佳维护问题,其中主要部件由于正常使用和暴露于随机变化的环境而随着时间的推移逐渐退化。由于共同的维护设置成本和共同的环境,涡轮机表现出经济和随机依赖性。我们的目标是确定在无限范围内最小化预期总折扣安装、替换和损失的电力生产成本的最佳替换策略。利用马尔可夫决策过程(MDP)模型建立了退化水平和环境状态下成本函数的单调性,并刻画了最优替代策略的结构。对于双水轮机电场的特殊情况,我们证明了一台水轮机的替换阈值不仅取决于其自身的退化状态,还取决于该电场中另一台水轮机的退化状态。这一结果用单调曲线完整地描述了两台涡轮机的更换策略。本文所描述的策略可用于最佳地规定及时更换主要部件,并建议何时最有利于共享昂贵的维护资源。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
18.20%
发文量
45
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The primary focus of the journal is on stochastic modelling in the physical and engineering sciences, with particular emphasis on queueing theory, reliability theory, inventory theory, simulation, mathematical finance and probabilistic networks and graphs. Papers on analytic properties and related disciplines are also considered, as well as more general papers on applied and computational probability, if appropriate. Readers include academics working in statistics, operations research, computer science, engineering, management science and physical sciences as well as industrial practitioners engaged in telecommunications, computer science, financial engineering, operations research and management science.
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