{"title":"The effects of COVID-19 policies on consumer spending in Norway","authors":"Fenella Carpena, Laurens Swinkels, Dan Zhang","doi":"10.1111/coep.12627","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We examine the effect of COVID-19 policies on consumer spending using bankcard transactions from Norway. Exploiting variation in COVID-19 policies over time and across space in the four largest municipalities, we investigate the heterogeneity of policy effects in their <i>number</i> and <i>type</i>. First, we document that the number of restrictions is negatively correlated with spending and exhibits decreasing marginal effects. Second, restrictions do not affect all types of spending equally: restrictions tend to have larger impacts on the sector in which they are targeted. Finally, we find suggestive evidence from a difference-in-differences estimation that supports a causal interpretation of our results.</p>","PeriodicalId":47364,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Economic Policy","volume":"42 1","pages":"56-67"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/coep.12627","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Contemporary Economic Policy","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/coep.12627","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We examine the effect of COVID-19 policies on consumer spending using bankcard transactions from Norway. Exploiting variation in COVID-19 policies over time and across space in the four largest municipalities, we investigate the heterogeneity of policy effects in their number and type. First, we document that the number of restrictions is negatively correlated with spending and exhibits decreasing marginal effects. Second, restrictions do not affect all types of spending equally: restrictions tend to have larger impacts on the sector in which they are targeted. Finally, we find suggestive evidence from a difference-in-differences estimation that supports a causal interpretation of our results.
期刊介绍:
Contemporary Economic Policy publishes scholarly economic research and analysis on issues of vital concern to business, government, and other decision makers. Leading western scholars, including three Nobel laureates, are among CEP"s authors. The objectives are to communicate results of high quality economic analysis to policymakers, focus high quality research and analysis on current policy issues of widespread concern, increase knowledge among economists of features of the economy key to understanding the impact of policy, and to advance methods of policy analysis.