Changing Employment Patterns: An Analysis of Rural Labour Force in Punjab

Manjit Sharma, Pushpak Sharma
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Abstract

The story of Punjab’s economic development witnessed an asymmetrical shift in the structure of output and employment due to the intensive capitalistic model of production in agriculture. The present study, based on National Sample Survey Office data, examines the patterns of employment and output in rural economy of Punjab during the pre-reform and post-reform period. Rural Punjab witnessed fall of work participation rate and phenomenon of ‘defeminisation’ of the labour force in agriculture during the post-reform period. There is a paradigm shift as the share of non-agriculture employment increased to 59.3% as per Periodic Labour Force Survey 2018; consequently, the non-agriculture sector becomes a major driving force in the state economy. An increase in employment elasticity among all sectors (except construction sector) during the post-reform period is a good sign. But a substantial decline in employment elasticity for all the sectors (except the construction sector) of Punjab is a disquieting phenomenon during the study period. Amidst the agrarian crisis, the rural non-farm sector can emerge as a silver lining, but evangelists of market economy disregarded the rural non-farm sector. Hence, the state should abdicate its neoliberal policies and adopt post-Washington consensus for the development of the rural non-farm sector within a given mode of production. JEL Codes: E24, J16, J43, J46, O11
变化的就业模式:旁遮普农村劳动力分析
旁遮普经济发展的故事见证了产出和就业结构的不对称转变,这是由于农业生产的集约化资本主义模式。本研究基于国家抽样调查办公室的数据,研究了旁遮普改革前和改革后农村经济的就业和产出模式。改革后,旁遮普农村劳动参与率下降,农业劳动力出现“非女性化”现象。根据2018年定期劳动力调查,非农业就业的比例增加到59.3%,这一模式发生了转变;因此,非农业部门成为国家经济的主要推动力。改革后所有部门(建筑业除外)的就业弹性都有所增加,这是一个好迹象。但在研究期间,旁遮普所有部门(建筑业除外)的就业弹性大幅下降是一个令人不安的现象。在土地危机中,农村非农业部门可以成为一线希望,但市场经济的鼓鼓者忽视了农村非农业部门。因此,国家应该放弃其新自由主义政策,并采用后华盛顿共识,在特定的生产模式下发展农村非农业部门。JEL代码:E24、J16、J43、J46、O11
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