Deterrence by delivery of arms: NATO and the war in Ukraine

IF 4 1区社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Contemporary Security Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI:10.1080/13523260.2023.2256572

Amir Lupovici

引用次数: 0

Abstract

During the course of the war in Ukraine, various actors have employed a unique type of deterrence by denial: namely, the threat to deliver arms. NATO leaders have committed—through rhetoric and deeds—to continue to deliver weapons to Ukraine if Russia escalated the war in order to deny Russian success. Not only is this type of strategy undertheorized, but it also challenges the distinction between direct and extended deterrence that has been central to deterrence scholarship. In deterrence by delivery of arms, the patron deters not by threatening to fight or deploy forces, but by committing to send weapons. However, the strategy also requires the protégé’s ability to fight. Studying deterrence by delivery of arms opens up understudied areas of deterrence (by denial), and provides a useful opportunity to consider how prominent concepts contribute to the research but also at times limit it.

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武器输送的威慑:北约和乌克兰战争

在乌克兰战争期间，各方都采用了一种独特的否认威慑方式:即威胁提供武器。北约领导人已经通过言辞和行动承诺，如果俄罗斯为了阻止俄罗斯的成功而升级战争，北约将继续向乌克兰运送武器。这种类型的战略不仅理论不足，而且还挑战了直接威慑和延伸威慑之间的区别，而直接威慑和延伸威慑一直是威慑学术的核心。在提供武器的威慑中，赞助人不是通过威胁战斗或部署军队来威慑，而是通过承诺运送武器来威慑。然而，这一策略也需要变性人的战斗能力。通过武器交付来研究威慑开辟了尚未被充分研究的威慑领域(通过拒绝)，并提供了一个有用的机会来考虑突出的概念如何对研究做出贡献，但有时也会限制研究。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Contemporary Security Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

14.60

自引率

6.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： One of the oldest peer-reviewed journals in international conflict and security, Contemporary Security Policy promotes theoretically-based research on policy problems of armed conflict, intervention and conflict resolution. Since it first appeared in 1980, CSP has established its unique place as a meeting ground for research at the nexus of theory and policy. Spanning the gap between academic and policy approaches, CSP offers policy analysts a place to pursue fundamental issues, and academic writers a venue for addressing policy. Major fields of concern include: War and armed conflict Peacekeeping Conflict resolution Arms control and disarmament Defense policy Strategic culture International institutions. CSP is committed to a broad range of intellectual perspectives. Articles promote new analytical approaches, iconoclastic interpretations and previously overlooked perspectives. Its pages encourage novel contributions and outlooks, not particular methodologies or policy goals. Its geographical scope is worldwide and includes security challenges in Europe, Africa, the Middle-East and Asia. Authors are encouraged to examine established priorities in innovative ways and to apply traditional methods to new problems.