Dampak Pandemi Covid-19 Terhadap Kinerja Ekspor Cengkeh Indonesia

Erna Wahdiana, Netti Tinaprilla, None Harmini
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Abstract

Even though during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 the exports of the agricultural sector increased, at the beginning of 2021 the plantation sector again experienced a decline. This is due to the disruption of the distribution system at the local, domestic and international levels. This also affects the prices of plantation commodities, one of the plantation products that has experienced a decrease in price is cloves. The aim of this study is to determine the factors that influence the performance of Indonesian clove exports. Data analysis used the Gravity model with the eViews 9 tool. The data used came from UN Comtrade. The results of the study are that the factors that have a positive effect are Indonesia's GDP, destination country's GDP, population, the covid pandemic and production. This means that every 1% increase will affect the increase by the number of coefficients. It can be concluded that the covid pandemic did not have a negative impact on Indonesia's export performance. Following are some of the implications that may occur after the COVID-19 pandemic has passed: global demand recovery, trade policy adjustments, changes in consumption patterns, focus on quality and sustainability, digitalization and e-commerce, export market diversification, risk management.
Covid-19大流行对印尼丁香出口性能的影响
尽管在2020年2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,农业部门的出口有所增加,但在2021年初,种植园部门再次出现下降。这是由于在地方、国内和国际各级的分配系统中断所致。这也影响了种植园商品的价格,其中一种经历价格下跌的种植园产品是丁香。本研究的目的是确定影响印尼丁香出口业绩的因素。数据分析使用重力模型和eViews 9工具。所使用的数据来自联合国商品贸易。研究结果表明,印尼的GDP、目的地国的GDP、人口、新冠疫情和生产是产生积极影响的因素。这意味着每增加1%将影响系数数量的增加。由此可见,新冠肺炎疫情并未对印尼出口业绩产生负面影响。以下是2019冠状病毒病大流行过去后可能产生的一些影响:全球需求复苏、贸易政策调整、消费模式改变、注重质量和可持续性、数字化和电子商务、出口市场多样化、风险管理;
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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