Automation versus openness: support for policies to address job threats

IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE
Alexander Kuo, Dulce Manzano, Aina Gallego
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract Does the threat of automation of workers’ employment provoke distinct policy preferences from that of globalization? We present hypotheses about how these different threats affect support for policies to prevent such shocks as well as policies to compensate via redistribution. Using vignettes and conjoint experiments embedded in survey evidence from Spain, we find that the threat of automation does not provoke any greater demand for redistribution than does openness. Nor does job loss due to automation provoke beliefs of greater deservingness of compensatory transfers, compared to job loss from openness. While the threat of offshoring and hiring foreign workers increases support for policies to prevent this process from occurring, scenarios of robot substitution do not provoke a similar reaction. These results suggest policies to prioritize automation over openness may gain less political traction.
自动化与开放:支持解决就业威胁的政策
工人就业自动化的威胁是否会引发与全球化不同的政策偏好?我们对这些不同的威胁如何影响对防止此类冲击的政策以及通过再分配进行补偿的政策的支持提出了假设。利用西班牙调查证据中的小插曲和联合实验,我们发现自动化的威胁并不会比开放更大地引发对再分配的需求。与开放导致的失业相比,自动化导致的失业也不会让人觉得补偿性转移更值得。虽然离岸外包和雇佣外国工人的威胁增加了对防止这一过程发生的政策的支持,但机器人替代的情景不会引起类似的反应。这些结果表明,优先考虑自动化而不是开放的政策可能会获得较少的政治吸引力。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
8.30%
发文量
38
期刊介绍: The Journal of Public Policy applies social science theories and concepts to significant political, economic and social issues and to the ways in which public policies are made. Its articles deal with topics of concern to public policy scholars in America, Europe, Japan and other advanced industrial nations. The journal often publishes articles that cut across disciplines, such as environmental issues, international political economy, regulatory policy and European Union processes. Its peer reviewers come from up to a dozen social science disciplines and countries across three continents, thus ensuring both analytic rigour and accuracy in reference to national and policy context.
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