STUDY OF INLAND WATERWAY TRANSPORT ROUTING OPTIONS UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY IN NAVIGATIONAL RESTRICTIONS

IF 0.5 Q4 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

Transport Problems Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI:10.20858/tp.2023.18.3.08

Velizara PENCHEVA, Asen ASENOV, Ivan GEORGIEV, Boril IVANOV, Ivelin ZANEV

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Given the uncertainty of the navigating conditions on the Danube River, the hydrological situation on the Bulgarian leg of the river is predicted using ARIMA methods. The forecast is based on statistical daily hydrological data for a period of five years. A mathematical routing model is developed under the condition that it is not possible for a self-propelled vessel to continue its voyage due to draft limitation. Options including waiting for navigation opening, partial lightening on a barge, and a complete or partial modal shift to rail or road transport through an alternative port are considered. An acceptable option is determined, taking into account the additional costs and transit time. A routing simulation is made using SPSS software.

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航行限制不确定条件下内河运输路线选择研究

考虑到多瑙河航行条件的不确定性，使用ARIMA方法预测了多瑙河保加利亚段的水文情况。预报是基于5年的每日水文统计数据。建立了自行船受吃水限制不能继续航行的情况下的数学路线模型。备选方案包括等待通航、在驳船上进行部分减载，以及通过另一个港口将运输方式全部或部分转为铁路或公路运输。考虑到额外的成本和运输时间，确定了一个可接受的选择。利用SPSS软件进行了路由仿真。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transport Problems TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY-

CiteScore

1.90

自引率

14.30%

发文量

审稿时长

48 weeks

期刊介绍： Journal Transport Problems is a peer-reviewed open-access scientific journal, owned by Silesian University of Technology and has more than 10 years of experience. The editorial staff includes mainly employees of the Faculty of Transport. Editorial Board performs the functions of current work related to the publication of the next issues of the journal. The International Programming Council coordinates the long-term editorial policy the journal. The Council consists of leading scientists of the world, who deal with the problems of transport. This Journal is a source of information and research results in the transportation and communications science: transport research, transport technology, transport economics, transport logistics, transport law.