Item Development to Predict the Driving Risk of Older Drivers using the Delphi Method

Jae-Shin Lee, Seong-Youl Choi
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Abstract

Increasingly, the elderly population is preferring a more-active lifestyle. These seniors can achieve more active social participation through driving. However, elderly drivers are required to undergo safety screening because of the high risk of accidents. Therefore, this study aimed to develop evaluation items for screening the driving risk of elderly drivers using a Delphi survey. The researchers collected the items included in the existing self-reported test of the elderly drivers and the 52 selected pre-items were those contained in at least two of the existing tests. Delphi panels were composed of professors, occupational therapists, social workers, road traffic workers and an elderly driver. In the first and second Delphi surveys, four items were integrated and 48 items were derived. The final 44 items were derived from the results of the third Delphi survey. The final 44 items contained information related to driving by elderly individuals and so can be used to formulate an appropriate test for elderly drivers. In various countries, self-evaluation for elderly drivers is provided as an IT-based service. It is expected that the items developed in this study will be used to develop Korean IT-based services for elderly drivers in Korea.
用德尔菲法预测老年驾驶员驾驶风险的项目开发
老年人越来越喜欢更积极的生活方式。这些老年人可以通过驾驶实现更积极的社会参与。然而,由于发生事故的风险很高,老年司机必须接受安全检查。因此,本研究旨在采用德尔菲调查法,开发老年驾驶员驾驶风险筛查的评价项目。研究人员收集了现有老年司机自述测试中的项目,选定的52个前题是至少两个现有测试中包含的项目。德尔菲小组由教授、职业治疗师、社会工作者、道路交通工作者和一位老年司机组成。在第一次和第二次德尔菲调查中,整合了4个项目,导出了48个项目。最后的44项来自第三次德尔菲调查的结果。最后的44个项目包含了与老年人驾驶相关的信息,因此可以用来制定一个适合老年驾驶员的测试。在许多国家,老年司机的自我评估是作为一种基于it的服务提供的。预计本次研究开发的项目将用于开发针对韩国老年司机的韩国It服务。
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