The PeMS algorithms for accurate, real-time estimates of g-factors and speeds from single-loop detectors

Abstract

Presents the PeMS algorithms for the accurate, adaptive, real-time estimation of the g-factor and vehicle speeds from single-loop detector data. The estimates are validated by comparison with independent, direct measurements of the g-factor and vehicle speeds from 20 double-loop detectors on I-80 over a three-month period. The algorithm is used to process data from all freeways in Caltrans District 12 (Orange County, CA) over a 20-month period beginning January 1998. Analysis of those data shows that the g-factors for different loops in the district differ by as much as 100 percent, and the g-factor for the same loop can vary up to 50 percent over a 24-hour period. Many transportation districts now post real-time speed and travel time estimates on the World Wide Web. Those estimates often are derived from single-loop detector data assuming a common g-factor for all detectors in the district. This study suggests that those estimates can be in error by 50 percent, and so they are of little value to travelers. The use of the PeMS algorithm will reduce those errors.