How Can the Global Ageing Affect the Global Value System? An Evolutionary Perspective

Andrey Korotayev, M. Butovskaya, S. Shulgin, J. Zinkina
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Abstract

All demographic forecasts imply that global ageing will continue and even intensify in the coming decades. As some values may change with age, global ageing is likely to cause shifts in global values. Our analysis suggests that a shift towards cooperation is to be expected alongside a shift to conservative values, as these are two main evolutionary adaptations for group stability and increasing chances of offspring survival. These are observed for both males and females. Using the World Values Survey data across various regions and country groups we find that both conservation and cooperation values indeed increase with age even with control for cohort effect. Older respondents tend to be more
全球老龄化如何影响全球价值体系?进化的视角
所有的人口预测都表明,全球老龄化将在未来几十年继续,甚至加剧。由于一些价值观可能会随着年龄的增长而改变,全球老龄化可能会导致全球价值观的变化。我们的分析表明,在向保守价值观转变的同时,向合作的转变是可以预期的,因为这是群体稳定和增加后代生存机会的两种主要进化适应。这在男性和女性身上都能观察到。利用世界价值观调查在不同地区和国家群体中的数据,我们发现保护和合作价值观确实随着年龄的增长而增加,即使控制了群体效应。年龄较大的受访者往往更多
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