Realism in the Trans ASEAN Gas Pipeline Project

Rahmadha Akbar Syah, Zaki Khudzaifi Mahmud
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Abstract

To improve connectivity and energy security, especially natural gas, Southeast Asian countries, under the cooperation of Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), are trying to build a gas pipeline that stretches from Indonesia to Myanmar. The project is called the Trans ASEAN Gas Pipeline (TAGP) under the ASEAN Plan of Action for Energy Cooperation (APAEC) scheme. However, regional countries are still dealing with their domestic problems, and there are fears that TAGP is detrimental to producer countries, resulting in the delay of this project as much by as four years – from 2020 to 2024. The uncertainty of the TAGP project further emphasizes that there is a tendency for countries not to adhere to the ASEAN forum’s agreements. Especially if it has to be juxtaposed with the Russian Gas Pipeline project which was built to distribute natural gas to Western European countries, TAGP is still far behind. In designing this paper, the authors use qualitative methods through literature studies by referring to the realism approach of International Relations to dissect TAGP problems. Furthermore, the author also feels the need to accommodate the neorealism approach to be used as a supportive approach in looking at the issues of disobedience in regional countries in supporting the TAGP scheme. Also, the authors conducted a brief comparison between TAGP and the Russian Gas Pipeline to be used as a case study analysis material that would later provide answers of why TAGP failed to go as planned.Keywords: realism, neorealism, TAGP, Russian Gas Pipeline
跨东盟天然气管道项目的现实主义
为了改善互联互通和能源安全,特别是天然气安全,东南亚国家在东盟(ASEAN)的合作下,正在努力建设一条从印度尼西亚延伸到缅甸的天然气管道。该项目被称为跨东盟天然气管道(TAGP),是东盟能源合作行动计划(APAEC)计划的一部分。然而,该地区国家仍在处理其国内问题,人们担心TAGP对生产国有害,导致该项目推迟多达四年,从2020年推迟到2024年。TAGP项目的不确定性进一步强调了各国不遵守东盟论坛协议的趋势。特别是,如果与向西欧国家输送天然气的俄罗斯天然气管道项目相比,TAGP仍然远远落后。在本文的设计中,作者借鉴国际关系学的现实主义方法,通过文献研究,采用定性的方法来剖析TAGP问题。此外,作者还认为有必要适应新现实主义的方法,作为一种支持方法来看待支持TAGP计划的区域国家的不服从问题。此外,作者还对TAGP和俄罗斯天然气管道进行了简要比较,作为案例研究分析材料,稍后将提供TAGP未能按计划进行的答案。关键词:现实主义,新现实主义,TAGP,俄罗斯天然气管道
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