Migration und Immobilienmärkte: Fallstudie China

H. Nitsch
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Abstract

We have examined the role of migration processes for the development of Chinese residential property markets at province level and have found empirical support of the following hypotheses: Migration between regions bears a close relationship with income differentials. The population shift induced thereby in combination with the disposable level of per-capita income and with urbanization is a dominant factor in the development of regional residential property price differentials in China. The main source of migration processes is the rural area compensating the weak natural growth in population in the metropolis. Conversely, high residential property prices in the conurbations are the determinants of the level of investment activity together with Tobin’s q.
移民和房地产市场。案例研究中国
我们从省级层面考察了人口迁移过程对中国住宅房地产市场发展的作用,并发现了以下假设的实证支持:地区间人口迁移与收入差异密切相关。由此引发的人口转移与人均可支配收入水平和城市化水平相结合,是中国区域住宅价格差异发展的主导因素。人口迁移过程的主要来源是农村地区弥补大都市人口自然增长乏力。相反,大城市的高住宅物业价格与托宾q一起是投资活动水平的决定因素。
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