Multi-angle Risk Identification and Comprehensive Evaluation of Electricity Retailers in the Electricity Sales Market Environment

Weihan Xia, Zining Wang, Ciwei Gao, Tao Yang, Hao Ming
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Abstract

With the launch of China’s power sales reform, the original market structure and environment have changed, and electricity retailers have become the emerging market players. While the opening of the electricity sales market brings development opportunities to many electricity retailers, it also makes them face diverse risks. Therefore, this paper conducts a multi-faceted risk identification and comprehensive evaluation study of electricity retailers in the electricity sales market environment. Firstly, this paper constructs a risk evaluation system from multiple dimensions, such as electricity sales market structure, electricity sales market environment, wholesale side operation risk, retail side operation risk and internal operation risk; secondly, it constructs specific evaluation indexes; then, it conducts comprehensive evaluation by operating hierarchical analysis method and simulation comprehensive evaluation. Finally, the validity of this paper’s model is verified by arithmetic analysis.
售电市场环境下电力零售商的多角度风险识别与综合评价
随着中国售电改革的启动,原有的市场结构和环境发生了变化,电力零售商成为新兴的市场主体。售电市场的开放在给众多电商带来发展机遇的同时,也使其面临着多种风险。因此,本文对电力零售企业在售电市场环境下的风险进行了多方面的识别和综合评价研究。首先,从售电市场结构、售电市场环境、批发侧经营风险、零售侧经营风险和内部经营风险等多个维度构建了风险评价体系;其次,构建了具体的评价指标;然后,采用操作层次分析法和仿真综合评价法进行综合评价。最后,通过算法分析验证了本文模型的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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