Calibration of the Highway Safety ManualGiven Safety Performance Functions for RuralMultilane Segments and Intersections in Kansas

Syeda Rubaiyat Aziz, S. Dissanayake
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

The Highway Safety Manual (HSM) provides models and methodologies for safety evaluation and prediction of safety performance of various types of roadways. However, predictive methods in the HSM are of limited use if they are not calibrated for local conditions. In this study, calibration procedures given in the HSM were followed for rural segments and intersections in Kansas. Results indicated that HSM overpredicts fatal and injury crashes and underpredicts total crashes on rural multilane roadway segments in Kansas. Therefore, existing safety performance functions (SPFs) must be adjusted for Kansas conditions, in order to increase accuracy of crash prediction. This study examined a way to adjust HSM calibration procedures by development of new regression coefficients for existing HSM-given SPF. Final calibration factors obtained through modified SPFs indicated significant improvement in crash prediction for rural multilane segments in Kansas. Additionally, obtained calibration factors indicated that the HSM is capable of predicting crashes at intersections at satisfactory level.
堪萨斯州农村多车道路段和交叉路口的公路安全手册给定安全性能功能的校准
公路安全手册(HSM)为各类公路的安全评价和安全性能预测提供了模型和方法。然而,预测方法在高速铣削是有限的使用,如果他们没有校准为当地条件。在这项研究中,在堪萨斯州的农村路段和十字路口,遵循了HSM中给出的校准程序。结果表明,HSM高估了堪萨斯州农村多车道路段的致命和伤害事故,而低估了总事故。因此,现有的安全性能函数(spf)必须根据堪萨斯州的情况进行调整,以提高碰撞预测的准确性。本研究探讨了一种调整HSM校准程序的方法,通过开发新的回归系数为现有的HSM给定SPF。通过修正SPFs获得的最终校准因子表明,堪萨斯州农村多车道路段的碰撞预测有显著改善。此外,得到的标定因子表明,该方法能够较好地预测交叉口碰撞。
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