Effect of Unemployment Rate, Inequality and Investment Against Economic Growth on The Island of Sumatra

Dikko Alrakhman, D. Susetyo, Taufiq, Azwardi
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze and empirically prove the effect of unemployment rate, inequality, and investment on economic growth on the island of Sumatra in a recently half of decade. Using panel dataset among N=154 districts/cities as entities on the island of Sumatra in the span period of six years (2015-2020), this study utilizes econometric panel model of multiple linear regression. This research suggests that the variables of unemployment rate and inequality density have a significantly negative correlation with economic growth on the island of Sumatra. Meanwhile, investment rate has positively significantly correlated with economic growth on the island of Sumatra. However, this study also has several limitation such follow: firstly, this study only uses three independent variables (unemployment, inequality, and investment) meanwhile not afford other factors or variables outside the model which may also affect the dependent variable (economic growth). Despite several limitations, this research contributes as equal as an input and evaluation for stakeholders in making policies (Government and Regional Government) so that they can produce more targeted policies in an effort to increase economic growth, especially for Regional Governments on the Island of Sumatra.
失业率、不平等和投资对苏门答腊岛经济增长的影响
本研究旨在分析并实证证明近五年来失业率、不平等和投资对苏门答腊岛经济增长的影响。本研究以苏门答腊岛6年(2015-2020年)的N=154个区/市为实体的面板数据集,采用多元线性回归的计量面板模型。研究表明,失业率和不平等密度这两个变量与苏门答腊岛经济增长呈显著负相关。同时,苏门答腊岛的投资率与经济增长呈显著正相关。然而,本研究也存在以下几个局限性:首先,本研究只使用了三个自变量(失业、不平等和投资),而没有考虑模型之外可能影响因变量(经济增长)的其他因素或变量。尽管存在一些局限性,但本研究为利益相关者制定政策(政府和地区政府)提供了同等的投入和评估,使他们能够制定更有针对性的政策,以促进经济增长,特别是对于苏门答腊岛的地区政府。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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