Analisis Forecasting Volume Penjualan Produk Indihome PT. Telkom Cabang Tenggarong

Charazevo Reynaldo, Yonathan Palinggi
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The aim of this research is to find out forecasting sales of indihome products, PT. Telkom Tenggarong Branch. The results of the study using the single moving average method of indihome product sales, namely in January sales were 326 units, February as many as 320 unit, March to May as many as 319 units, June and July increased to 320 units, August and September 319 units. Whereas when using the linear trend method sales tend to increase every month. In January, sales of 337 units, in June 370 units, in July as many as 377 units, in August 383 units and months September 390 units. The results showed that the single moving average method with an error rate will be smaller every forecasting done. The results obtained by the single moving average method, indihome product sales volume occurs sales fluctuations. While the linear trend of error rate tend to be constant with the results of the sales volume of indihome products having a positive trend.   Keywords : Forecasting, Sales Volume, Single Moving Average
分析Indihome PT. telcom子公司的销售体积
本研究的目的是找出预测个人产品的销售,PT电信腾加荣分公司。研究结果采用单一移动平均法计算独立产品销量,即1月销量为326台,2月最多320台,3月至5月最多319台,6月和7月增至320台,8月和9月增至319台。而当使用线性趋势法时,销售额趋于逐月增长。1月份销量为337台,6月份为370台,7月份多达377台,8月份为383台,9月份为390台。结果表明,单次移动平均法每次预测的错误率都较小。通过单次移动平均法得到的结果显示,个体产品的销售量出现销售波动。误差率的线性趋势趋于恒定,个体产品的销售量呈正向趋势。关键词:预测,销售量,单移动平均线
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