Assessment of the Demographic Policy Effectiveness in the Republic of Dagestan

Abstract

The components of the decline in the Republic of Dagestan's birth rate over the last five-year period are determined, and their contributions to the formation of negative trends are determined. In the Republic of Dagestan conditions, since 2014, a birth rate decreased in all age groups of women, due to which a 75% negative increase in the number of births compared to 2014. In the region, by 2019, compared to 2014, the number of women of reproductive age decreased by 8.4 thousand people, which ensured a decrease in the birth rate by 4.5%. Moreover, the number of the most active reproductive ages – 20-29 years decreases, thereby causing negative transformations in the reproductive categories population's age structure. The latter factor added another 20% negative increase in the dynamics of the birth rate. In the North Caucasus regions, the most significant negative impact on the birth rate over the past five years was exerted by reducing the age-related birth rates. This indicates a decline in the country's effectiveness of demographic policy measures and indicates the need to bring the implemented measures in line with the demographic and socio-economic situation.