Calibration, Validation and Performance Evaluation of Swat Model for Sediment Yield Modelling in Megech Reservoir Catchment, Ethiopia

Abebe Tarko Assfaw
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

Abstract Intensive agricultural practice in Ethiopian highlands results in increasing rates of soil erosion and reservoir sedimentation. The estimation of sediment yield and prediction of the spatial distribution of soil erosion on the upper Megech reservoir catchment enables the local governments and policymakers to maximize the design span life of the Megech reservoir through implementing appropriate soil conservation practices. For this study, the sediment yield was estimated and analyzed through hydrological modeling (SWAT). The simulated outputs of the model show that the mean annual surface runoff was 282 mm and the mean annual streamflow was 153 m3/s. Similarly, 12.33 t/ha mean annual total sediment load gets into the Megech reservoir. The model performance standard used to evaluate the model result indicates that the model was superior in performing the trend of runoff and sediment yield in both calibration and validation periods. Finally, the most erosion vulnerable sub-basins that could have a significant impact on the sediment yield of the reservoir were identified. Based on this, sub-basin 7, 25, 27, 18 and 29 were found to be the most erosion sensitive areas that could have a significant contribution to the increment of sediment yield in the Megech reservoir. Considering the land use, soil type, slope, and relief of erosion vulnerable sub-basins cut off drains, fallow land, contour ploughing, Fanya juu terraces, soil bunds combined with trenches and trees could be the possible management strategies to reduce the sediment yield in the catchment.
埃塞俄比亚Megech水库流域产沙量Swat模型的校准、验证和性能评价
埃塞俄比亚高地的集约化农业实践导致土壤侵蚀和水库沉积率增加。通过对Megech水库上游集水区产沙量的估算和水土流失空间分布的预测,使地方政府和决策者能够通过实施适当的水土保持措施,最大限度地提高Megech水库的设计寿命。在本研究中,通过水文模型(SWAT)估算和分析了产沙量。模型模拟结果表明,年平均地表径流量为282 mm,年平均流量为153 m3/s。同样,进入Megech水库的年平均总泥沙负荷为12.33 t/ha。采用模型性能标准对模型结果进行评价,结果表明,该模型在校正期和验证期均能较好地反映径流产沙趋势。最后,确定了可能对水库产沙量产生重大影响的最易侵蚀子流域。在此基础上,发现7、25、27、18和29子流域是对Megech水库产沙增量贡献最大的侵蚀敏感区。考虑到土地利用、土壤类型、坡度和易受侵蚀的子流域的地形,休耕、等高线耕作、泛亚juu梯田、土壤带结合沟和树木可能是减少流域产沙的可能管理策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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