La variable oculta en la suerte del apostador de loterías

Abstract

Of all the popular beliefs, other than the metaphysical beliefs of bettors on lottery draws, such as lucky numbers, beliefs about the role played by the weight of the balls in the draw are very ingrained. The lighter or heavier balls are believed to be depending on the type of randomizer; It is believed that the weight of the balls is the variable that hides the black box of the system. This article analyzes this fact through statistical tests on real information, lottery draws of coupons in the year 2000 and discards such beliefs as attributions made on frustrated hopes. However, the distribution of weights offers biases that, failing to affect draws, could, at first glance, make credible the belief of the bettor. Therefore, a statistical analysis was performed in two levels, static weight of the balls and influence of the randomizer