Bilim ve Teknoloji Politikaları Bağlamında Teknoloji-İşsizlik İlişkisi: Ampirik Bir İnceleme

İbrahim Dağlı, Levent Kösekahyaoğlu
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Abstract

: The purpose of this paper is twofold. The first goal is to contribute to the empirical literature at the macro level, which is quite insufficient quantitatively, related to the impact of technology on employment. The second purpose is to contribute to the discussion with a quantitative finding regarding the general bias and concern that technology will cause unemployment In this study, technology and unemployment relationship has been analyzed with System Generalized Method of Moments estimator for the 22 European Union countries and Turkey with data for the years 2005-2018. As a result of the analysis, it has been observed that, contrary to the general prejudice, technology has a positive effect on unemployment, but this effect is temporary and disappears after the second year. In this way, it has been empirically demonstrated that technological development does not have a negative impact on employment thanks to compensation mechanisms.
本文的目的是双重的。第一个目标是为宏观层面的经验文献做出贡献,这在数量上是相当不足的,与技术对就业的影响有关。第二个目的是通过关于技术将导致失业的普遍偏见和担忧的定量发现来促进讨论。在本研究中,使用系统广义矩量估计器对22个欧盟国家和土耳其的2005-2018年数据进行了技术和失业关系的分析。分析的结果表明,与普遍的偏见相反,技术对失业有积极的影响,但这种影响是暂时的,并在第二年之后消失。通过这种方式,经验证明,由于补偿机制,技术发展不会对就业产生负面影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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