LINKING CRIME TO INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT, TAX RATES, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH

S. G. Ol’kov
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Abstract

The purpose of the article: show the connection between crime and fundamental macroeconomic phenomena — inflation, unemployment, tax rates and economic growth. Scientific methods: methods of mathematical analysis and probability theory, in particular, integral and differential calculus, correlation and regression analysis, methods of formal logic. The scientific results obtained by the author: 1) a law of the form is established: , linking the crime rate with the unemployment rate at a changing inflation rate (inflation is taken into account as part of the formula linking unemployment and inflation); 2) shows the relationship between the level of certain types of blunting and the tax rate (connection with the Laffer curve); 3) the connection between crime and Okun’s law is shown, when both the GDP decreases and the unemployment rate grows; 4) shows the relationship between crime and the kinks of the consumption curve in the economic growth model of Robert Solow, when transitions to a stable level of capital-labor ratio of a unit of labor are made according to the golden rule. Scientific novelty: lies in newly obtained scientific results. The practical significance lies in the possibility of using the obtained scientific results in the development of macroeconomic, microeconomic theory and criminology.
将犯罪与通货膨胀、失业、税率和经济增长联系起来
这篇文章的目的是:展示犯罪和基本宏观经济现象——通货膨胀、失业、税率和经济增长之间的联系。科学方法:数学分析和概率论的方法,特别是积分和微分,相关和回归分析,形式逻辑的方法。作者获得的科学成果是:1)建立了一个形式的规律:在通货膨胀率变化的情况下,将犯罪率与失业率联系起来(通货膨胀被考虑为联系失业和通货膨胀的公式的一部分);2)表示某类钝化程度与税率之间的关系(与拉弗曲线的联系);3)在GDP下降、失业率上升的情况下,犯罪与奥肯定律之间存在联系;(4)在索洛经济增长模型中,当单位劳动的资本劳动比率根据黄金法则过渡到稳定水平时,犯罪与消费曲线弯曲之间的关系。科学的新颖性:在于新获得的科学成果。其现实意义在于,所获得的科学成果有可能用于宏观经济、微观经济理论和犯罪学的发展。
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