Prospects of Cross Border Energy Trade in South Asia

Subas Gautam
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Abstract

The majority of South Asian nations use a combination of renewable energy sources like hydro, solar, and wind power together with nonrenewable energy sources like nuclear, coal, and natural gas to generate their electricity. Both of these sources are indigenous to some degree. Every nation in the area benefits from one type of resource or another. In India, coal is available. Natural gas is also abundant in Bangladesh, Pakistan, Nepal, and Bhutan, as well as hydropower. Using panel data from 2001 to 2015, this study examines the relationship between electricity consumption and changes in income, population, and foreign direct investment in Pakistan, India, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Nepal, five South Asian nations. Additionally, the demand for electricity can be satisfied by imports or electrical production. The OLS results confirm that there is significant relationship between electricity consumption and GDP in South Asia. The OLS result further suggests that there is significant positive relation between GDP and electricity imports for India and Pakistan where as Nepal and Bangladesh have significant positive relation between GDP and electricity production. It is therefore concluded that there is a huge potential of cross border energy trade in South Asia and enhance economic growth in the region.  
南亚跨境能源贸易展望
大多数南亚国家结合使用水力、太阳能和风能等可再生能源以及核能、煤炭和天然气等不可再生能源来发电。这两种来源在某种程度上都是本土的。该地区的每个国家都受益于这样或那样的资源。在印度,煤炭是可用的。孟加拉国、巴基斯坦、尼泊尔和不丹也有丰富的天然气和水电资源。本研究利用2001年至2015年的面板数据,考察了巴基斯坦、印度、孟加拉国、斯里兰卡和尼泊尔这五个南亚国家的电力消费与收入、人口和外国直接投资变化之间的关系。此外,电力需求可以通过进口或电力生产来满足。OLS结果证实,南亚地区的用电量与GDP之间存在显著关系。OLS结果进一步表明,印度和巴基斯坦的GDP与电力进口之间存在显著的正相关关系,而尼泊尔和孟加拉国的GDP与电力生产之间存在显著的正相关关系。因此,南亚地区跨境能源贸易潜力巨大,促进了该地区的经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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