A conceptual model of decision-making support of thevolunteer team in conditions of dynamic changes

D. R. Horpenko
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Abstract

The paper examines the problem of decision-making by a team of volunteers in transport logistics tasks under conditions of dynamic changes in the external environment. Transport logistics is a system of organizing cargo delivery to the place of need along a certain route. The task of transport logistics, during dynamic changes in the external environment, is a task of multi-criteria selection due to consideration of various criteria. Solving the problems of transport logistics requires the construction of aconceptual model of decision-making support, regarding the choice of the best route, taking into account all the factors that influence decision-making, and the choice of the decision-making method. The multi-criteria decision-making methodswhich are used in the transport sector are analyzed. A conceptual model of decision-making support for choosing the optimal route in the transport logistics problem is proposed. Verification of the proposed model was carried out, for which the task of choosing the bestroute of cargo transportation in the transport logistics problem was set and solved. When finding a solution, the multi-criteria decision-making methods were used: Analytic Hierarchy Process method, Multiplicative Analytic Hierarchy Process method, SimpleMulti-Attribute Rating Technique method, improved Simple Multi-Attribute Rating Technique method. The criteria used to evaluate alternative routes for cargo transportation were identified based on volunteer surveys. In order to evaluate the alternatives according to the established criteria, volunteer experts were involved, since during dynamic changes in the conditions of cargo transportation, the involvement of professional experts is a difficult task. To establish the reliability of the evaluations of alternatives according to the criteria obtained from volunteer experts, the Kendall and Spearman correlation coefficients were calculated. Analytic Hierarchy Process method, Multiplicative Analytic Hierarchy Process method, and the improved Simple Multi-Attribute Rating Technique method are found to provide the most reliable results, but the Analytic Hierarchy Process method and Multiplicative Analytic Hierarchy Process methods are more time-consuming during data inputthan the improved Smart method
动态变化条件下志愿者团队决策支持的概念模型
本文研究了在外部环境动态变化的条件下,由志愿者组成的团队在运输物流任务中的决策问题。运输物流是组织货物沿一定路线运送到需要的地点的系统。在外部环境的动态变化中,运输物流的任务是一个需要考虑各种标准的多准则选择任务。解决运输物流问题需要构建决策支持的概念模型,对于最优路线的选择,综合考虑影响决策的各种因素,以及决策方法的选择。分析了多准则决策方法在交通运输领域的应用。提出了运输物流问题中最优路线选择决策支持的概念模型。对所提出的模型进行了验证,并对运输物流问题中选择货物运输起点的任务进行了设置和求解。在求解过程中,采用了多准则决策方法:层次分析法、乘法层次分析法、简单多属性评定法、改进简单多属性评定法。用于评价货物运输备选路线的标准是根据自愿调查确定的。为了根据既定标准评价备选方案,志愿专家参与其中,因为在货物运输条件发生动态变化时,专业专家的参与是一项困难的任务。为了根据志愿者专家提供的标准建立备选方案评估的可靠性,计算了Kendall和Spearman相关系数。结果表明,层次分析法、乘法分析法和改进的简单多属性评定技术(Simple Multi-Attribute Rating Technique)方法提供的结果最可靠,但层次分析法和乘法分析法在数据输入过程中比改进的Smart方法耗时更长
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