Role of Financial Development in Economic Growth of Nepal: An Empirical Analysis

B. P. Gautam
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Abstract

Economic growth and financial development are closely related. The interaction between them is crucial and has attracted great attention of researchers. This study attempts to examine the relationship between economic growth and financial development in Nepal between 1975 and 2012. The paper has used Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Philips-Perron tests to test for the existence of unit root, Co-integration test to examine long run relationship and Granger Causality test to find out causal relationship. In addition, vector error correction method has been applied to find out the speed of adjustment and the dynamics of relationship. The empirical evidence confirms that the financial development causes economic growth. In fact, financial development is the cause for economic growth in terms of short-term dynamics, while economic growth sustains financial development in the long-run. Based on the empirical findings, this study recommends that it is necessary to launch the reform programs in the financial system to consolidate and improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the financial system as well as to cope with the emerging changes. Thus, it asks for the consolidation of the system not only for the positive reinforcement between economic growth and financial development but also for the post crisis resilience and sustainability.
金融发展在尼泊尔经济增长中的作用:一个实证分析
经济增长与金融发展密切相关。它们之间的相互作用是至关重要的,引起了研究者的极大关注。本研究试图考察1975年至2012年间尼泊尔经济增长与金融发展之间的关系。本文采用增广Dickey-Fuller检验和phillips - perron检验来检验单位根是否存在,协整检验来检验长期关系,格兰杰因果检验来找出因果关系。此外,还采用矢量误差修正方法来确定调整速度和动态关系。实证证明,金融发展促进了经济增长。事实上,从短期动力来看,金融发展是经济增长的原因,而从长期来看,经济增长又支撑着金融发展。基于实证研究结果,本研究建议有必要启动金融体制改革方案,以巩固和提高金融体系的效率和有效性,并应对新出现的变化。因此,它要求巩固这一体系,不仅是为了经济增长和金融发展之间的积极加强,也是为了危机后的复原力和可持续性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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