ON THE EFFECTIVENESS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC FORECASTING LONG-TERM TRENDS OF THE SOVIET PERIOD

Abstract

The article presents the results of socio-economic studies for the first half of the 20th century, revealing the actual state of industrial production, revealing socially significant challenges in the economic sphere. It shows various directions in the search for their scenario solutions, based on the use of various classifications of forecasts for the socio-economic development of the Soviet country, carried out by S.G. Strumilin. The predictions are compared with the realities in various fields in order to try to take a fresh look at the viability and relevance of the proposed long-term trends in the historical and current context taking into account modern requirements.