Fractal Aspects Of Epidemic Spread

A. Deppman
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Abstract

The main properties of a fractal model to describe the epidemic spread of diseases are discussed. The most important features of the epidemic process that leads to the conclusion of an underlying fractal structure are analyzed, and the meaning of the parameters of the model are investigated. It is shown that the existence of a fractal mechanism in the epidemic evolution leads to a simple relation between time interval for the epidemic spread and the population size. It is shown that the contamination rate varies with the population size. The relevant differences between the SIR model and the fractal model are discussed.
流行病传播的分形方面
讨论了描述疾病流行传播的分形模型的主要性质。分析了流行病过程的最重要特征,得出了一个潜在的分形结构的结论,并研究了模型参数的意义。结果表明,在疫情演变过程中存在分形机制,导致疫情传播时间间隔与种群规模之间存在简单的关系。结果表明,污染率随种群大小而变化。讨论了SIR模型与分形模型的相关区别。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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