Comparative Analysis of the Implementation of the Inflation Targeting Monetary Strategy in Canada and New Zealand

Suzana Stevanović, I. Milenković
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract Since the 1990s there have been major changes in the way monetary policy is conducted. Since other monetary strategies did not result in the desired outcome, the first concept of inflation targeting was presented in New Zealand (1990), then in Canada (1991), England (1992), Sweden and Finland (1993), Australia and Spain (1994), Israel, Chile, Brasil, the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, Serbia and other countries. Thus, the application of this monetary regime has spread from economically developed to developing countries. This article examines the adoption, the formal framework for inflation targeting and the experience of the two countries that were leaders in the adoption of this modern strategy, New Zealand and Canada. At the time of the announcement of the inflation targets, inflation in both countries was around 6%. However, there are differences regarding the time frame. So, in New Zealand in a shorter period of time, credibility should have been achieved regarding the imbalance of monetary and fiscal policy. While, on the other hand, a longer time frame is envisaged for the Central Bank of Canada regarding achieving greater flexibility to mitigate price shocks. After all the above, it can be concluded that both observed countries (Canada and New Zealand) during the period 2008-2017, achieved positive effects from inflation targeting. In this sense inflation rates in the target range of 1-3% were achieved, except for a few years after the financial crisis (2008-2011), but after certain revisions of the formal framework, both countries successfully fought for greater economic growth and financial stability. The inflation targeting regime proved to be very successful in achieving the set targets, so both Central Banks continued to constantly update the formal and informal inflation targeting frameworks, in order to continuously achieve the expected effects.
加拿大和新西兰通货膨胀目标制货币战略实施的比较分析
自20世纪90年代以来,货币政策的执行方式发生了重大变化。由于其他货币策略没有产生预期的结果,第一个通货膨胀目标制的概念是在新西兰(1990年)提出的,然后是加拿大(1991年)、英国(1992年)、瑞典和芬兰(1993年)、澳大利亚和西班牙(1994年)、以色列、智利、巴西、捷克共和国、波兰、匈牙利、塞尔维亚和其他国家。因此,这种货币制度的应用已从经济发达国家蔓延到发展中国家。本文考察了通货膨胀目标制的正式框架的采用,以及新西兰和加拿大这两个在采用这一现代战略方面处于领先地位的国家的经验。在宣布通胀目标时,两国的通胀率都在6%左右。然而,在时间框架方面存在分歧。因此,在较短的时间内,新西兰应该在货币和财政政策的不平衡问题上取得公信力。另一方面,预计加拿大中央银行在实现更大灵活性以减轻价格冲击方面将有更长的时间框架。综上所述,可以得出结论,在2008-2017年期间,两个观察到的国家(加拿大和新西兰)都取得了通货膨胀目标制的积极效果。从这个意义上讲,除了金融危机(2008-2011年)之后的几年,两国都实现了1-3%的目标范围内的通货膨胀率,但在对正式框架进行了某些修改之后,两国都成功地实现了更大的经济增长和金融稳定。事实证明,通货膨胀目标制在实现既定目标方面非常成功,因此两国央行继续不断更新正式和非正式的通货膨胀目标制框架,以不断达到预期的效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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