USE OF SATELLITE INFORMATION IN THE PREDICTION OF EL NIÑO EVENTS

Abstract

Materials from surveys of 1982–1983 and 1997–1998 are analyzed for the two most powerful El Niño events in the 20th century, and four medium-intensity events are examined for the period 1986–1995. On the basis of online tracking of the dynamics of radiation processes in the equatorial ocean from space, a method is proposed for predicting different El Niño phases in five standard regions for up to 16 months in advance.