Preliminary comparison of different neural-fuzzy mappers for load curve short term prediction

Abstract

This paper is written with the didactic purpose of exploring and indicating possibilities to power companies in the Balkan region for the application of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models in load prediction with real load data set. ANFIS models were trained and tested using 15-minute load data collected in Portugal by the electric power company EDP during a 42 day period. Simulation results gave promising results especially considering small size of used data set. Although the objective of the paper is to demonstrate possibilities for practical implementation, further research and improvement including the contributions of similar approaches in the world must be done