Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in India and Retail Sector Liberalization: A GMM Estimation

R. Manocha
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Abstract

India has one of the largest retail markets in the world. In order to channelize the huge potential of Indian retail sector and to provide best of the cosmopolitan culture to the fast-growing Indian retail market and to stimulate India’s FDI inflows, the Government of India has systematically liberalized FDI in the retail sector since 2006. The present study incorporates retail sector liberalization measures as one of the institutional changes and tries to empirically examine the impact of institutional changes on India’s FDI inflows. Along with the conventional determinants of FDI, extended institutional variable has been incorporated in order to study the inflows from 21 investing countries for the period 2001-2020. The results were captured by employing fixed effects, random effects, and GMM (two-step) estimation. The study suggested a positive and significant coefficient for extended market size, economic freedom index, and extended institutional variable whereas inflation was found to have a significant and negative impact on India’s FDI inflows.
印度外商直接投资与零售业自由化的决定因素:一个GMM估计
印度是世界上最大的零售市场之一。为了引导印度零售业的巨大潜力,为快速增长的印度零售市场提供最好的国际化文化,并刺激印度的外国直接投资流入,印度政府自2006年以来系统地放开了零售业的外国直接投资。本研究将零售业自由化措施纳入制度变迁之一,并试图实证检验制度变迁对印度FDI流入的影响。为了研究2001-2020年期间来自21个投资国的流入,除了外国直接投资的传统决定因素外,还纳入了扩大的体制变量。采用固定效应、随机效应和GMM(两步)估计来捕获结果。研究表明,扩大市场规模、经济自由指数和扩大制度变量的系数为正且显著,而通货膨胀对印度的外国直接投资流入有显著的负面影响。
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