ANALISIS SURVIVAL DENGAN COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD PADA KASUS DEMAM TIFOID

Nurul Azizah Baisaku, Jajang Jajang, Nunung Nurhayati
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Abstract

A common problem found in survival data is the presence of censored data. The length of hospitalization of Typhoid fever patients until declared cured is one of example of this data.  Here, we use Cox regression model to analysis this data.  Partial likelihood is one of the methods of estimating parameters for Cox regression model.  In many cases of censored data, two objects (patients) have the same length of hospitalization (ties). Therefore, to estimate the parameters of the model must use the right method. Here we used partial likelihood Breslow, Efron, and Exact methods. The study was motivated by how the three methods performed for Cox regression model. The data used for the implementation of these methods is length of hospitalization of Typhoid fever patients at Mekar Sari Hospital-Bekasi in 2020.  Based on AIC criteria, we found that exact method is the best model (minimum AIC) for parameter estimation of Cox regression model. Referring to the Cox regression model by using a significance level of 10%, there are five predictor variables that affects the length of patient hospitalization. The five variables are age, vomiting, dirty tongue, hemoglobin, and leukocyte.Keywords: Typhoid fever, Cox regression, Breslow method, Efron method, exact method.MSC2020: 62N02, 62N03
在生存数据中发现的一个常见问题是存在审查数据。伤寒病人在宣布治愈前的住院时间是这方面数据的一个例子。在这里,我们使用Cox回归模型来分析这些数据。部分似然是Cox回归模型参数估计的方法之一。在许多经过审查的数据中,两个对象(患者)具有相同的住院时间(关系)。因此,要估计模型的参数必须使用正确的方法。这里我们使用了部分似然Breslow, Efron和Exact方法。研究的动机是三种方法如何执行Cox回归模型。用于实施这些方法的数据是2020年Mekar Sari医院- bekasi伤寒患者的住院时间。基于AIC准则,我们发现精确方法是Cox回归模型参数估计的最佳模型(最小AIC)。参照Cox回归模型,显著性水平为10%,有5个预测变量影响患者住院时间。这五个变量分别是年龄、呕吐、舌头脏、血红蛋白和白细胞。关键词:伤寒,Cox回归,Breslow法,Efron法,精确法Msc2020: 62n02, 62n03
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