Epilogue

E. Rohling
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

There can be no doubt that the discovery and widespread use of fossil fuels has driven massive economical and societal developments. It started with coal. Although oil and gas became important thereafter, coal never really lost its position of prominence, although the tide may have turned in very recent years (Figure 1.2). The use of fossil fuels is familiar to virtually everybody on the planet, and a massive global corporate infrastructure exists to ensure its supply and distribution. In addition, petrochemical products are essential base materials for much of the manufacturing industry (e.g., plastics, synthetics, solvents, etc.). Virtually all of humanity has thus become thoroughly dependent on fossil fuels and other petrochemical products. We feel in our comfort zone with them. The very closely interwoven relationship between the modern way of life and fossil fuels and other petrochemicals, the emotive comfort- zone issue, and direct financial interests are key to the strong reactions that commonly follow whenever external carbon emissions are identified as an urgent problem. I hope that this book has provided you with a deeper understanding of the concepts and observations behind the concerns expressed by researchers. The role of CO2 in climate could perhaps be defined a little more sharply in the fine details, but the big lines are clear. And the big lines are all we need to appreciate where we stand today. Using just a few simple numbers about the potential consequences of the modern CO2 levels, with examples from the past, and equally simple numbers about the sheer quantities of carbon involved, everyone can get their heads around the scale of the problem. By similarly working out the scale of the required remedial measures in basic terms, we have seen that our most advisable course of action is to create a zero emissions society at the very soonest. Because there has been inaction for so long already, positive action on a truly global scale has now become a matter of the greatest urgency. This zero emission society is critical for stopping the unnaturally rapid rise in CO2 levels and stabilizing them to a level as close to today’s 400 ppm as we can.
后记
毫无疑问,化石燃料的发现和广泛使用推动了巨大的经济和社会发展。它始于煤炭。尽管此后石油和天然气变得重要,但煤炭从未真正失去其突出地位,尽管近年来趋势可能有所转变(图1.2)。化石燃料的使用对地球上几乎每个人来说都是熟悉的,并且存在着一个庞大的全球企业基础设施来确保其供应和分销。此外,石化产品是许多制造业(如塑料、合成材料、溶剂等)必不可少的基础材料。因此,几乎所有的人类都完全依赖于化石燃料和其他石化产品。我们觉得和他们在一起很舒服。现代生活方式与化石燃料和其他石化产品之间紧密交织的关系、情感上的舒适区问题以及直接的经济利益,是每当外部碳排放被视为一个紧迫问题时,人们通常会做出强烈反应的关键。我希望这本书能让你对研究人员所表达的担忧背后的概念和观察有更深的理解。二氧化碳在气候中的作用也许可以在细节上定义得更清晰一点,但大的线条是清晰的。我们所需要的就是欣赏我们今天所处的位置。只要用几个简单的数字来说明现代二氧化碳水平的潜在后果,再加上过去的例子,再用同样简单的数字来说明所涉及的碳的绝对数量,每个人都能对问题的规模有所了解。通过类似的基本补救措施的规模,我们已经看到,我们最明智的行动方针是尽快建立一个零排放社会。由于长期以来一直无所作为,在真正的全球范围内采取积极行动现在已成为最紧迫的问题。这个零排放社会对于阻止二氧化碳浓度的非自然快速上升,并将其稳定在尽可能接近今天400ppm的水平至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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