An Assessment of FII Investments in Indian Capital Market

Harendra Behera
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Abstract

This paper reviews the policies for foreign portfolio investments and empirically assess the impact FIIs investments on Indian equity market. Particularly, the study tries to examine the effects of FIIs investment on equity return, stock market liquidity and volatility. Using monthly data and ordinarily least square, the study found that FIIs investments have a positive impact on both returns and liquidity. However, the GARCH estimates from daily data suggest FIIs investments increase volatility in Indian stock market. Investments by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) witnessed a marked expansion over the years. Ever since the opening of the Indian equity markets to foreigners, net FII investments have steadily grown from about Rs. 13 crores in 1992-93 to over Rs.66,000 crore in 2007-08 before it turning to a net disinvestment of Rs. 45,811 crore in 2008-09, on an annual basis. In subsequent period, it increased sharply to Rs. 1,46,438 crore in 2011-12. With the increase in limit of FIIs investments in corporate debt and Government securities, the investments in debt component also increased significantly from Rs. 29 crore in 1996-97 to Rs.49,988 crore in 2011-12, on an annual basis. This buoyant foreign investment flows into the country have continued to demonstrate the high level of confidence that the international investors repose in the Indian economy and as also norms for FII investments have been progressively relaxed. On the other hand, large reversal of FII inflows during 2008-09 global crisis, made balance of payments management difficult and led the Indian rupee to depreciate significantly.
印度资本市场FII投资的评估
本文回顾了外国证券投资政策,并实证评估了外国投资者投资对印度股票市场的影响。特别是,本研究试图检验境外机构投资对股权回报、股票市场流动性和波动性的影响。利用月度数据和通常最小二乘法,该研究发现,外国投资机构的投资对回报和流动性都有积极影响。然而,GARCH根据每日数据估计,外国投资机构的投资增加了印度股市的波动性。近年来,境外机构投资者(fii)的投资规模显著扩大。自从印度股票市场向外国人开放以来,外国投资者的净投资从1992-93年的1.3亿卢比稳步增长到2007-08年的6600多亿卢比,然后在2008-09年转为每年净撤资4581.1亿卢比。在随后的一段时间里,它在2011-12年急剧增加到14643.8亿卢比。随着外国投资机构对公司债务和政府证券的投资限额的增加,债务部分的投资也从1996-97年的2.9亿卢比大幅增加到2011-12年的4998.8亿卢比。这种活跃的外国投资流入该国,继续表明国际投资者对印度经济的高度信心,也表明FII投资的规范已逐步放宽。另一方面,在2008-09年全球危机期间,境外机构投资流入大幅逆转,使国际收支管理变得困难,并导致印度卢比大幅贬值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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