Heterogeneity, Transient and Persistent Production Efficiencies of Major Crops in Southern Ethiopia

M. Meja, B. Alemu, M. Shete
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Abstract

ABSTRACT:Agricultural productivity is a cornerstone for the economy of Ethiopia to ensure rural transformation. However, the increment of productivity of crops has slow progress. Hence, this study undertook to separate farm heterogeneity, short-run and long-run inefficiencies of productivity in southern Ethiopia. The study used the models of decomposing technical efficiency through various techniques like 4-random error components of stochastic frontier panel data models to distinguish between time-invariant farm-heterogeneity, persistence, and short-run inefficiencies. Thus, models used for the analysis have shown different estimates of overall efficiency levels. Fixed-effect and Kumbhakar-Heshmati models did not separate unobserved persistent efficiency from farm-heterogeneity efficiency. The estimated efficiency by the Kumbhakar-Lien-Hardaker model (0.4449) is significantly higher than the mean of the fixed-effect model with much lower variations. Mean transient efficiencies gleaned from true-fixed-effect, consistent true-fixed-effect, and Kumbhakar-Lien-Hardaker models become nearly equal except, the Kumbhakar-Heshmati model indicated that farmers faced severe persistent productivity inefficiency problems. Average technical change in 2011/12 was 20.67% and declined much more to 9.44% and 5.82% in 2013/14 and 2015/16, sequentially. According to the estimation of overall technical efficiency, it is possible to capture about 39% to 99% of the untapped production in the crop subsector of Southern Ethiopia. Therefore, there was a decline in the growth rate of fertilizer used and land size covered by considered crops in the area. Land covered was declined by 3.06% for the considered crops from 2013/14 to 2015/16 production period. In the mean summary of technical efficiency at the zonal level, the aggregate persistent efficiency is lower than the transient one for all the zones. It confirmed that inefficiency varies from zone to zone between zones and household to household within the zone during the survey years. Thus, the policymaker should pinpoint the causes of inefficiencies separated in the time factors to improve the productivity of considered crops in the study area. A policy point that treats the persistent, transient, and farm-specific inefficiency enhancing conditions has to be set separately in each zona of Southern Ethiopia. Moreover, the greater focus of the policy is to alleviate the persistent inefficiency increasing factors in the study area.
埃塞俄比亚南部主要作物的异质性、瞬时和持续性生产效率
摘要:农业生产力是埃塞俄比亚经济发展的基石,是农村转型的保障。然而,作物生产力的增长却进展缓慢。因此,本研究对埃塞俄比亚南部的农业异质性、短期和长期生产力效率低下进行了区分。该研究使用了各种技术分解技术效率的模型,如随机前沿面板数据模型的4随机误差分量,以区分定常农场异质性、持久性和短期低效率。因此,用于分析的模型显示了对总体效率水平的不同估计。固定效应模型和Kumbhakar-Heshmati模型没有将未观察到的持续效率与农场异质性效率分开。Kumbhakar-Lien-Hardaker模型估计的效率(0.4449)显著高于固定效应模型的平均值,且变化幅度小得多。真固定效应模型、一致真固定效应模型和Kumbhakar-Lien-Hardaker模型收集的平均瞬时效率几乎相等,但Kumbhakar-Heshmati模型表明农民面临严重的持续生产力效率低下问题。2011/12年度的平均技术变化率为20.67%,2013/14年度和2015/16年度分别下降到9.44%和5.82%。根据对总体技术效率的估计,埃塞俄比亚南部作物分部门有可能捕获约39%至99%的未开发产量。因此,该地区肥料使用量的增长率和被考虑作物所覆盖的土地面积都有所下降。从2013/14到2015/16生产期间,所考虑作物的土地覆盖减少了3.06%。在区域技术效率的平均汇总中,各区域的总持续效率均低于短暂效率。它证实,在调查期间,区域之间的区域与区域之间以及区域内的家庭与家庭之间的效率低下有所不同。因此,决策者应该在时间因素中找出效率低下的原因,以提高研究地区所考虑作物的生产力。必须在埃塞俄比亚南部的每个区域分别设置一个政策点,以处理持续的、短暂的和特定于农场的低效率提高条件。此外,政策的重点是缓解研究区持续存在的低效率增加因素。
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