Market Integration Analysis of Tomato Markets in Sudan

Najla Farwq Eltahir, Hag Hamad Abdelaziz Mohamed, S. Suliman
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Abstract

Tomato is a leading crop in the world and in Sudan that is characterized by seasonality and perishability, which causes instability in market supplies and prices in the world, including Khartoum State and other markets of Sudan. This study aimed to estimate market integration in Khartoum State, Sudan. The study depended mainly on secondary data obtained from relevant sources. The study used descriptive analysis, Box-Jenkins Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA), and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) time series analysis. The results of the time series analysis indicated that the prices of tomatoes were stable and variable throughout the year, reflecting a seasonal pattern. The results of the co-integration analysis indicated the strong integration among the different tomato markets in Sudan, with Khartoum and Port Sudan having 85% and Khartoum and Zalingei markets having a 67% level of co-integration. The study concluded that despite the poorly organized marketing system, the tomato market channel is well-integrated as prices tend to move up and down together in all markets of Sudan. The study recommended the encouragement of production and marketing cooperatives for farmers and traders under the close supervision and management of concerned institutions, ministries, and national and commercial banks and the introduction of adequate and appropriate transportation vehicles and packaging material for tomatoes.
苏丹番茄市场一体化分析
番茄是世界和苏丹的主要作物,其特点是季节性和易腐性,这导致世界市场供应和价格不稳定,包括喀土穆州和苏丹的其他市场。本研究旨在估计苏丹喀土穆州的市场整合情况。这项研究主要依靠从相关来源获得的二手数据。本研究采用描述性分析、Box-Jenkins自回归移动平均(ARMA)和自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)时间序列分析。时间序列分析的结果表明,西红柿的价格在一年中是稳定和变化的,反映了一个季节性的模式。协整分析的结果表明,苏丹不同番茄市场之间的整合程度很高,喀土穆和苏丹港市场的协整程度为85%,喀土穆和扎林盖市场的协整程度为67%。该研究的结论是,尽管营销系统组织不善,但番茄市场渠道整合良好,因为苏丹所有市场的价格往往同时上下波动。研究报告建议在有关机构、部委、国家银行和商业银行的密切监督和管理下,鼓励农民和商人的生产和销售合作社,并为西红柿引进充分和适当的运输工具和包装材料。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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