Estimation of short-term power load of a small house by generalized behavioural learning method

Ö. F. Ertugrul, M. Tagluk
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Abstract

Power load estimation, especially short-term power load estimation, plays an important role in the management of a power system in terms of system security and electricity costs. Therefore, estimation of short-term power load accurately is a popular research issue. In this paper, the generalized behavioral learning method (GBLM), a method developed based on human's behavioral learning theories, was employed to estimate short-term power load. The datasets that belong to houses B and C were employed in the estimation process. Achieved results by GBLM and extreme learning machine (ELM) ELM were compared. It is showed that GBLM estimates short-term power load with a higher success rate than ELM.
基于广义行为学习方法的小型住宅短期电力负荷估算
电力负荷估计,特别是短期负荷估计,在电力系统的安全管理和电力成本管理中起着重要的作用。因此,准确估计短期电力负荷是一个热门的研究课题。本文采用基于人类行为学习理论发展起来的广义行为学习方法(GBLM)对短期电力负荷进行估计。在估计过程中使用了属于房屋B和房屋C的数据集。比较了GBLM和极限学习机(ELM)的结果。结果表明,GBLM估计短期电力负荷的成功率高于ELM。
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